June 15, 2024 12:07 pm
Published by Lori Fernandez
Home sales posted a fourth consecutive gain in Orange County. Bouncing off a 12-month low, we have seen a climb to 2,128 homes sold in May. This is still about one third below normal May sales but represents a 44%...
View Article
March 18, 2024 3:22 pm
Published by Lori Fernandez
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed the December 2023 inflation increase of 0.3% over November prices, led mostly by increases in shelter, gasoline, and electricity. This closed 2023 with a 3.4% inflation rate (unadjusted), much lower than the 6.5%...
View Article
March 18, 2024 3:22 pm
Published by Lori Fernandez
It is worth repeating the truism that owning a home is the best way to secure wealth. This is an easy statement to believe in retrospect but often put into doubt during times of rapid price appreciation when the stronger...
View Article
January 25, 2024 10:30 am
Published by Lori Fernandez
Disinflation continued to be the trend in 2023. The Consumer Price Index year-over-year dropped to 3.1% in November, with anticipation that end of year figures will be lower as fuel, auto, travel prices have dropped. This is good news for hopes of...
View Article
January 25, 2024 10:22 am
Published by Lori Fernandez
Many economists predict a slowing of the economy in 2024, with the chance of a mild recession. Bill Conerly (Forbes.com 12/27/2023), lays out retrospective reasons why we avoided the widely predicted recession in 2023, and the strengths/weaknesses of standard measure used to look...
View Article
November 29, 2023 2:04 pm
Published by Lori Fernandez
You may have been reading headlines in financial news for the past several months about how the yield curve has inverted, warning of a pending recession. The inversion happens when Short Term government bonds sell for a higher yield than...
View Article
November 29, 2023 2:03 pm
Published by Lori Fernandez
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4% nationwide in September for an annualized rate of 3.7%. This was a drop month over month of 0.2%. Shelter and gasoline continued to be the driver for price increases....
View Article
August 15, 2023 9:35 am
Published by Lori Fernandez
The inflationary hit on household saving accounts should start to ease for the second half of 2023. The Wall Street Journal 7/13/23 article points to a general decline in inflation over a broad array of consumer goods, led by the...
View Article
August 15, 2023 9:29 am
Published by Lori Fernandez
Freddie Mac’s data for two Southern California metro areas are numbers 1 and 2 in their respective categories of places people are moving to and moving from. With both, they follow the general cooling trend to relocate away from higher...
View Article
July 17, 2023 9:59 am
Published by Lori Fernandez
Mortgage interest rates have a larger than normal cushion over the 10 year treasury bond. First American Title’s Odeta Kushi pointed out in the May 18 REconomy Podcast that the historic gap since 1972 has been 170 basis points (1.7%)....
View Article